Inflation: What It Is, Types, Measurement, & Control

This podcast provides a comprehensive understanding of inflation, defined as the gradual loss of purchasing power reflected in a broad rise in prices for goods and services over time. It explores the types of inflation, specifically demand-pull inflation, where increased demand outpaces supply, cost-push inflation, resulting from rising production inputs like commodity prices, and built-in inflation, driven by adaptive expectations and a wage-price spiral.
The overview details how inflation is measured using various price indexes, including the widely used Consumer Price Index (CPI), the Wholesale Price Index (WPI), and the Producer Price Index (PPI). The Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index is also highlighted as the primary index the Federal Reserve uses to monitor inflation.
Furthermore, the overview discusses the causes of inflation, linking it primarily to an increase in the money supply and factors like supply bottlenecks, and its impact on prices, cost of living, and economic growth. It covers the advantages and disadvantages of inflation and strategies for controlling inflation through monetary policy actions by the central bank (like the Federal Reserve in the U.S.), often involving adjustments to interest rates. The concepts of deflation (general price decline) and disinflation (slowing positive inflation rate) are also distinguished. The overview also touches on hedging against inflation through investments in tangible assets like commodities, real estate, and Treasury Inflation-Protected Securities (TIPS).
0.000000 6.000000 Welcome to everyday explained your daily 20-minute dive into the fascinating house and wise of the world around you.
6.000000 11.000000 I'm your host Chris and I'm excited to help you discover something new. Let's get started.
11.000000 21.000000 Have you ever found yourself at the grocery store just staring at the receipt and thinking, "Hang on, didn't this exact same stuff cost less just like a few months ago?"
21.000000 27.000000 Or maybe you filled up the car and just felt that, you know, dread is the numbers on the pump kept climbing.
27.000000 34.000000 Yeah, familiar feeling. It's that nagging sense that your money, your hard-earned cash just isn't stretching as far.
34.000000 38.000000 It feels like a bit of a mystery, doesn't it? And it hits every single one of us.
38.000000 45.000000 You're definitely not imagining it. What you're feeling is inflation. It's a really fundamental economic concept.
45.000000 50.000000 And today, that's our mission. Yeah. We're going to try and demystify it completely for you.
50.000000 57.000000 We'll unpack what it is, what really causes it, how powerful institutions like Central Banks try to manage it.
57.000000 63.000000 And crucially, what you can actually do about it. Exactly. How you can protect your own finances when prices are on the rise.
63.000000 71.000000 Think of this as your shortcut, really, to being properly informed about something that, well, it touches pretty much every part of daily life.
71.000000 75.000000 We'll try to pack it with some, you know, surprising bits, maybe a little humor.
75.000000 82.000000 Keep things interesting. Yeah, exactly. So you can really get why that coffee or that tank of gas costs what it does.
82.000000 90.000000 So, okay, where do we start unpacking this beast? Let's kick off with the real basics. We all feel it, maybe most obviously, in our grocery bills.
90.000000 94.000000 But what is inflation beyond just, you know, things getting pricier?
94.000000 105.000000 Okay. So at its absolute core, inflation is a gradual loss of purchasing power. What that means is your money buys less over time.
105.000000 113.000000 Right. And it shows up as a broad sustained rise in prices for, well, pretty much all goods and services across the whole economy.
113.000000 119.000000 It's really important to get that it's not just one or two things spiking. Like avocado suddenly getting expensive for a month.
119.000000 126.000000 Exactly. It's a general widespread increase. And it's different from, say, deflation. That's when prices actually fall and your money buys more.
126.000000 132.000000 Which sounds good, but can't actually be bad for the economy. It can be. Yeah. And it's also different from disinflation.
132.000000 138.000000 That's when prices are still going up, but just at a slower pace than they were before. So still inflation. Just less intense.
138.000000 148.000000 Okay. That makes sense. But it still feels slippery, you know. How do economists actually pin a number on this feeling? How do they measure it?
148.000000 155.000000 Yeah, it's definitely not simple, but they have some pretty sophisticated methods. The key idea is this concept of a basket of goods.
155.000000 161.000000 A basket, like a shopping basket. Pretty much. Imagine filling a typical basket with everything.
161.000000 169.000000 An average household buys food, clothes, rent, transportation, medical care, maybe even entertainment. Okay.
169.000000 177.000000 Then economists track how the average price of all the items in that specific basket changes over time. They use different price indexes to do this.
177.000000 185.000000 Ah, like the ones you hear mentioned on the news all the time. Precisely. The one you probably hear most often is the consumer price index or CPI.
185.000000 192.000000 That measures the weighted average of prices for this basket of key consumer stuff. The Bureau of Labor Statistics reports it every month.
192.000000 201.000000 Weighted average. So some things count more than others. Exactly. Things you spend more on, like housing or transport, have bigger weight in the calculation than things you spend less on.
201.000000 211.000000 Now, what's interesting is, while the CPI gets the headlines, the US Federal Reserve, the Central Bank, actually pays closer attention to a slightly different measure.
211.000000 218.000000 It's called the personal consumption expenditures price index or PCE. PCE. Why the different one?
218.000000 230.000000 Well, they feel it gives a broader, maybe more accurate picture of what people are actually spending money on. For instance, it includes healthcare costs paid by insurance, not just out of pocket expenses, which the CPI doesn't capture in the same way.
230.000000 238.000000 Ah, okay. So different indexes tell slightly different stories. Right. They capture different aspects of spending. And then there's another one, the producer price index or PPI.
238.000000 251.000000 This one looks at prices earlier in the chain. Before things hit the shops. Exactly. It measures the average change in selling prices received by domestic producers, factories, farms, wholesalers. It tracks the input costs for businesses.
251.000000 257.000000 So it could be like an early warning signal. Often. Yes. If producer prices are rising sharply,
257.000000 273.000000 that might signal that consumer prices will follow suit down the line. So these are all averages, though, which might explain why sometimes my own experience feels well worse than the official number. Like my gas bill feels like it's gone up way more than 3% or whatever.
273.000000 280.000000 That's a really crucial point. They are averages and your personal inflation rate can definitely feel different. It comes back to that waiting. Right.
280.000000 293.000000 If you have a long commute, a jump in gas prices hits your budget way harder than someone who works from home. Petrol has a much larger weight in your personal basket, so to speak, then maybe the price of bananas.
293.000000 303.000000 So if you live at the gas station, your personal inflation rate might feel a little higher. Something like that. And you asked about quality improvements too. Like if a new car costs more, but has way better features.
303.000000 306.000000 Yeah. How do they account for that? They try to adjust for it.
306.000000 320.000000 Economists attempt to separate the price increase that's due to better quality or new features from the pure price increase. It's tricky, but the goal is to measure the change in cost for the same level of utility or quality.
320.000000 326.000000 They want isolate the change in the purchasing power of money itself. Wow. Okay. That sounds complicated.
326.000000 342.000000 But it is. And the cumulative effect over time is pre-staggering when you look back. Just as an example, using the CPI, something that costs $10,000 back in January 1975. Well, you'd need over $59,000 in January 2024 just to buy the equivalent stuff.
342.000000 349.000000 59,000 from 10 roughly. Yeah. It really shows how inflation can erode the value of money over decades if you're not planning for it.
349.000000 359.000000 Incredible. That really hammers home the need to think long term. Okay. So we know what it is sort of how it's measured. But why does it happen? Is it just random? Or is there a method to the madness?
359.000000 363.000000 Definitely not random, though it can feel chaotic sometimes.
363.000000 369.000000 Fundamentally, the root cause of sustained inflation is almost always an increase in the money supply relative to the goods and services available.
369.000000 378.000000 More money chasing the same amount of stuff. Pretty much. And the monetary authorities, like a country central bank, can increase that money supply.
378.000000 385.000000 And a few key ways. Yeah, they can literally print more physical money and distribute it. But that's less common now. Right.
385.000000 398.000000 They can legally devalue the currency. Or more typically these days, they can loan new money into existence electronically, for example, by buying government bonds from commercial banks, which injects money into the banking system.
398.000000 406.000000 So they don't even need a printing press anymore. Not in the same way. A lot of it is digital. We even saw a historical version of this centuries ago.
406.000000 416.000000 After the Spanish conquests in the Americas, huge amounts of gold and silver flowed into Europe drastically increasing the money supply there. And boom, prices shot up across the con.
416.000000 424.000000 Fascinating. So beyond just more money, are there different sort of flavors of inflation? Different ways it gets triggered.
424.000000 433.000000 Yes. Economists usually talk about three main types. First, there's demand pull inflation. This is the classic. Too much money chasing too few goods scenario, which is mentioned.
433.000000 446.000000 It happens when the overall demand for goods and services often boosted by an increased money supplier credit, outstrips the economy's ability to produce those goods and services. More demand pulls prices higher.
446.000000 457.000000 There's a gap between demand and supply. Got it. What's next? Second is cost push inflation. This comes from the supply side. It happens when the costs of producing goods and services go up.
457.000000 470.000000 Like raw materials. Exactly. Think about a sudden surge in oil prices. That makes energy more expensive, transportation more expensive, manufacturing more expensive, businesses face higher input costs.
470.000000 480.000000 And they have to pass that on. They often do. Leading to higher prices for finished goods for consumers. Major shocks to supply chains or key commodities like oil or grain can trigger this.
480.000000 491.000000 That makes sense. And the third type. The third is built in inflation, which is sometimes called the wage price spiral. This one's really interesting because it's about expectations. Expectations. How does that cause inflation?
491.000000 501.000000 Well, if people expect prices to keep rising based on recent experience say inflation has been running at 5% workers will start demanding higher wages. Maybe 5% or more just to keep up.
501.000000 515.000000 Sure. To maintain their standard of living. Exactly. But then businesses facing higher labor costs might raise their prices to protect their profit margins. And when prices go up again, it reinforces the expectation that inflation will continue.
515.000000 527.000000 Which leads workers to demand another raise and businesses raise prices again. It becomes a self reinforcing loop. People's expectations about future inflation become a driver of current inflation.
527.000000 538.000000 Wow. So built-in inflation is like this echo chamber. The expectation just keeps bouncing back and forth, pushing prices higher each time. That actually makes me think about the last few years.
538.000000 545.000000 Since maybe 2022 when inflation really took off globally. What was driving it then? Was it one of these types?
545.000000 552.000000 That period was really a perfect storm. A combination of factors. We definitely saw cost push elements. Remember all the supply chain chaos during the pack down there.
552.000000 563.000000 Out factory shutting down ports clogged. Right. Big bottle necks and shortages of key goods pushed prices up. Then you also had demand pull factors.
563.000000 569.000000 Governments in many countries rolled out stimulus checks and enhanced unemployment benefits. Putting more money in people's pockets.
569.000000 581.000000 Which fueled consumer spending at a time when supply was already constrained. And then layered on top of that, you had major geopolitical events, particularly the Russia Ukraine war starting in early 2022.
581.000000 593.000000 The impact on energy and food. Exactly. Huge disruptions to global oil, gas and green supplies. Sent those prices soaring adding another strong cost push element.
593.000000 601.000000 So it really wasn't just one thing. It was this complex mix of demand surges, supply shocks and probably some built-in expectations kicking in as well.
601.000000 609.000000 A tangled web. Okay, so stepping back. What does all this mean for us for the individual person and for the economy overall? It sounds like more than just an inconvenience.
609.000000 617.000000 Oh, it's a very big deal for individuals. The most immediate impact is that loss of purchasing power. Your paycheck, your savings, they just don't buy as much.
617.000000 624.000000 Your standard of living can take a hit. Absolutely. Especially if your wages don't keep pace with the rising cost of living.
624.000000 638.000000 Inflation also has this sort of double-aged defect on savings and debt. How so? Well, it generally hurts savers. The money you've carefully put aside, say in a savings account or holding cash, loses real value over time.
638.000000 649.000000 It's purchasing power erodes. Not great if you're saving for retirement. Definitely not. But, and this is the flip side. It can actually benefit borrowers, especially those with fixed rate debt. Like a mortgage.
649.000000 659.000000 Exactly. If you have a fixed rate mortgage, your payment stays the same. But as wages and prices rise with inflation, that fixed payment becomes relatively smaller compared to your income.
659.000000 668.000000 The real inflation adjusted value of your debt effectively shrinks over time. Huh, so it's bad for my savings account, but maybe good for my mortgage.
668.000000 679.000000 In a sense, yes. Think about someone receiving a pension with a fixed annual increase of, say, 1%. If inflation is running at 5%, they're losing ground fast.
679.000000 695.000000 But someone paying off a 30-year fixed mortgage taken out years ago might find those payments easier to manage as their income rises with inflation. Beyond the individual level, high and especially unpredictable inflation creates significant uncertainty in the economy.
695.000000 702.000000 How does that play out? It makes it much harder for businesses to plan investments, set prices, and manage inventory.
702.000000 711.000000 Consumers also become uncertain about future costs and might pull back on spending. All this uncertainty can dampen economic activity and potentially stunt growth.
711.000000 716.000000 Right. And you mentioned something earlier about how new money doesn't spread evenly.
716.000000 728.000000 Yes, the cancel on effect. The idea is that when new money is created, it enters the economy at specific points, maybe through government spending or bank loans to certain sectors. Those who get the money first benefit before prices have fully adjusted upwards.
728.000000 739.000000 So they get to spend it while things are still relatively cheap. Exactly. But as that money circulates, it bids up prices. And by the time it reaches people further down the line, prices have already risen.
739.000000 746.000000 So inflation can actually distort relative prices and have uneven distributional effects, at least temporarily.
746.000000 754.000000 Fascinating and a bit unfair sounding. So this raises the big question, who's actually trying to sphere this ship?
754.000000 759.000000 Who's in charge of keeping inflation under control? And how do they even attempt to do that?
759.000000 766.000000 That's primarily the job of the central bank. In the United States, that's the Federal Reserve, often just called the Fed. Their main tool is monetary policy.
766.000000 768.000000 Monetary policy, okay. What are their goals?
768.000000 775.000000 In the US, the Fed operates under what's called a dual mandate from Congress. They're tasked with promoting maximum employment and price stability.
775.000000 785.000000 They also aim for moderate long-term interest rates. For price stability, they've explicitly defined their target as 2% annual inflation, measured by that PCE index we talked about.
785.000000 789.000000 Okay, 2%. Why not zero inflation? Wouldn't that be perfect price stability?
789.000000 792.000000 It's a really good question. It seems intuitive, right?
792.000000 801.000000 But most central banks believe a small, low, stable level of inflation, like 2%, is actually healthier for the economy than zero.
801.000000 812.000000 Why is that? A couple of reasons. One, a little bit of inflation encourages people and businesses to spend and invest now rather than hoarding cash because they expect prices to be slightly higher later.
812.000000 814.000000 That keeps economic activity humming.
814.000000 816.000000 Okay, avoid stagnation.
816.000000 826.000000 Right. Second, it gives the central bank more wiggle room. If inflation is at zero and the economy hits a downturn, it's harder to cut interest rates effectively below zero.
826.000000 832.000000 Having that 2% target provides a buffer, it also helps prevent deflation, which can be really damaging.
832.000000 836.000000 Makes sense. So how does the Fed try to hit that 2% target? What's their main weapon?
836.000000 845.000000 Their primary tool is influencing the federal funds rate. This is the target rate for overnight lending between banks. It's the bedrock interest rate in the financial system.
845.000000 847.000000 In changing that rate affects me how?
847.000000 855.000000 Because changes in the federal funds rate ripple outwards. They influence other short-term interest rates and eventually longer-term rates like those on mortgages, car loans,
855.000000 857.000000 business loans, even credit card rates.
857.000000 863.000000 Got it. So what do they do when inflation is too high, like it has been recently?
863.000000 868.000000 When inflation is running too hot, the Fed raises its target for the federal funds rate.
868.000000 873.000000 This makes borrowing more expensive for banks and they pass those higher costs on.
873.000000 876.000000 So my mortgage rate goes up, my car loan costs more.
876.000000 881.000000 Exactly. Higher interest rates make borrowing less attractive for both consumers and businesses.
881.000000 893.000000 People borrow and spend less, businesses invest less. This cools down demand in the economy, reduces the amount of money circulating as quickly and, the theory goes, helps bring inflation back down towards the target.
893.000000 896.000000 And if the economy is weak and inflation is too low?
896.000000 900.000000 Then they do the opposite. The Fed lowers the federal funds rate target.
900.000000 908.000000 This makes borrowing cheaper, encourages spending and investment, stimulates the economy and hopefully nudges inflation back up towards 2%.
908.000000 912.000000 So it's like they have a gas pedal and a break for the economy.
912.000000 927.000000 That's a common analogy, yeah. They also have a few other less frequently used tools like changing the discount rate that's the rate banks pay to borrow directly from the Fed or adjusting reserve requirements, which is the fraction of deposits banks must hold and reserve and not lend out.
927.000000 929.000000 But the federal funds rate is the main lever.
929.000000 935.000000 Did the Fed always operate like this? Have they always been able to, you know, fine-tune things?
935.000000 941.000000 What happened back when inflation really got out of control? I'm thinking, like, the 1970s again?
941.000000 945.000000 Ah, the 70s and early 80s. That was a defining period.
945.000000 949.000000 Inflation was persistently high. Sometimes in double digits. It was a huge problem.
949.000000 950.000000 What did they do?
950.000000 954.000000 Well, eventually, under Fed Chair Paul Volker, they took drastic action.
954.000000 958.000000 They raised the federal funds rate dramatically, pushing it up to around 20% at its peak.
958.000000 959.000000 20%? Wow.
959.000000 964.000000 Yeah, extremely high. It worked. It did break the back of inflation and brought it down over the next few years.
964.000000 969.000000 But it came at a significant cost. Those high interest rates choked off borrowing and investment,
969.000000 972.000000 leading to two recessions in a sharp rise in unemployment.
972.000000 974.000000 So a painful trade-off.
974.000000 979.000000 A very painful trade-off. It highlighted the difficult balancing act central banks face
979.000000 983.000000 between controlling inflation and supporting employment and growth.
983.000000 988.000000 Then, more recently, think about the period after the 2008 financial crisis.
988.000000 990.000000 The Fed did the opposite.
990.000000 992.000000 Right. Interest rates were near zero for years.
992.000000 998.000000 Exactly. They kept the federal funds rate effectively at zero and also launched massive bond buying programs
998.000000 1000.000000 called quantitative easing or QE.
1000.000000 1005.000000 They were pumping liquidity into the system to prevent a deeper collapse in deflation.
1005.000000 1008.000000 I remember people reading that QE would cause massive inflation.
1008.000000 1011.000000 They were definitely critics who feared hyperinflation.
1011.000000 1017.000000 But interestingly, inflation actually remained quite low, even declined for several years after 2008.
1017.000000 1019.000000 Why didn't it take off then?
1019.000000 1023.000000 The simplest explanation is that the recession itself was such a powerful deflationary force.
1023.000000 1026.000000 Demand collapsed. Unemployment was high.
1026.000000 1031.000000 QE likely counteracted some of that deflationary pressure and supported the recovery,
1031.000000 1037.000000 preventing a much worse outcome, rather than creating runaway inflation on its own in that specific context.
1037.000000 1039.000000 Context matters.
1039.000000 1044.000000 And speaking of runaway inflation, what about those really extreme cases, hyperinflation?
1044.000000 1049.000000 Right. Hyperinflation. That's typically defined as prices rising by 50% or more per month.
1049.000000 1051.000000 It's inflation that's totally out of control.
1051.000000 1053.000000 Per months. I can't even imagine.
1053.000000 1054.000000 It's devastating.
1054.000000 1058.000000 The most famous historical example is probably German Vimar Republic in the early 1920s.
1058.000000 1063.000000 Prices rose so fast that money became virtually worthless almost overnight.
1063.000000 1069.000000 People were literally using stacks of banknotes for wallpaper or fuel because it was cheaper than buying the real thing.
1069.000000 1070.000000 Unbelievable.
1070.000000 1076.000000 We've seen other terrible episodes too, like in Peru in 1990 or in Zimbabwe between 2007 and 2008,
1076.000000 1082.000000 where inflation reached astronomical levels completely destroying savings and making normal economic life impossible.
1082.000000 1086.000000 It's a reminder of how damaging uncontrolled inflation can be.
1086.000000 1087.000000 Absolutely chilling.
1087.000000 1092.000000 Okay, so bringing it back to a more, shall we say, manageable level of inflation.
1092.000000 1094.000000 We know it's a big deal. The Fed is trying to manage it.
1094.000000 1098.000000 But what can you, the listener, actually do about it personally?
1098.000000 1101.000000 How can we sort of batten down the hatches when prices are rising?
1101.000000 1103.000000 That's the crucial question for individuals.
1103.000000 1106.000000 And yes, there are practical steps you can take.
1106.000000 1109.000000 First, and maybe most obviously, review your budget.
1109.000000 1111.000000 Really scrutinize it.
1111.000000 1112.000000 Find where the money's going.
1112.000000 1113.000000 Exactly.
1113.000000 1117.000000 Necessities like food, energy, housing are likely getting more expensive,
1117.000000 1122.000000 so you need to identify areas where you might be able to cut back on discretionary spending
1122.000000 1125.000000 to make room for those higher essential costs.
1125.000000 1127.000000 Trim the fat, so to speak.
1127.000000 1131.000000 Right. Second, keep saving if you possibly can.
1131.000000 1134.000000 It sounds counterintuitive when your money is losing value.
1134.000000 1137.000000 But having an emergency fund is still vital.
1137.000000 1140.000000 Aim for that standard three to six months of essential expenses.
1140.000000 1143.000000 And where should you keep that emergency fund?
1143.000000 1146.000000 Consider high yield savings accounts.
1146.000000 1149.000000 While interest rates on savings rarely fully keep up with high inflation,
1149.000000 1153.000000 high yield accounts typically offer much better rates than traditional ones,
1153.000000 1156.000000 helping to offset some of the erosion in purchasing power.
1156.000000 1157.000000 Every little bit helps.
1157.000000 1162.000000 Third, if you have the flexibility, it might be wise to delay large debt-financed purchases.
1162.000000 1164.000000 Like buying a new house or car.
1164.000000 1165.000000 Yeah.
1165.000000 1170.000000 When the Fed is raising interest rates to fight inflation, borrowing costs go up significantly.
1170.000000 1174.000000 Taking out a big loan like a mortgage or a car loan becomes much more expensive.
1174.000000 1178.000000 If you could wait until rates potentially stabilizer come down,
1178.000000 1180.000000 you could save a lot in interest payments.
1180.000000 1182.000000 Patients pays off, maybe?
1182.000000 1185.000000 And finally, and this is really important for the long term,
1185.000000 1188.000000 continue to invest, especially for retirement.
1188.000000 1190.000000 Even when the market feels shaky.
1190.000000 1192.000000 Especially then, perhaps.
1192.000000 1197.000000 It can be tempting to hit pause on your 401(k) or IRA contributions with things feel uncertain.
1197.000000 1201.000000 But historically, staying invested through different economic cycles
1201.000000 1205.000000 is how you build wealth that can outpace inflation over the long run.
1205.000000 1207.000000 Market timing is notoriously difficult.
1207.000000 1210.000000 Regular, consistent investing is usually the better strategy.
1210.000000 1211.000000 Stick to the plan.
1211.000000 1214.000000 Okay, so besides just continuing to invest regularly,
1214.000000 1219.000000 are there specific types of assets that tend to do better during inflationary periods?
1219.000000 1222.000000 Like financial superheroes against inflation?
1222.000000 1224.000000 Ah, superheroes is a good way to put it.
1224.000000 1228.000000 Yes, certain asset classes are traditionally considered better inflation hedges than others.
1228.000000 1230.000000 Stocks are generally seen as one.
1230.000000 1231.000000 Why stocks?
1231.000000 1236.000000 Because companies can often raise the prices of their goods and services along with inflation.
1236.000000 1240.000000 This means their revenues and potentially profits can grow,
1240.000000 1243.000000 which gets reflected in their stock prices over time.
1243.000000 1247.000000 So stocks have historically provided returns that beat inflation over the long term.
1247.000000 1250.000000 Commodities are another classic hedge.
1250.000000 1253.000000 Like oil, gas, metals, agricultural products.
1253.000000 1254.000000 Exactly.
1254.000000 1259.000000 The prices of raw materials often rise early and sometimes sharply during inflationary periods.
1259.000000 1263.000000 Investing in commodities directly or through funds can offer protection
1263.000000 1266.000000 as their prices often stay ahead of finished goods prices.
1266.000000 1268.000000 But they can be volatile, right?
1268.000000 1269.000000 Very volatile, yes.
1269.000000 1272.000000 Commodity prices can swing wildly based on geopolitics,
1272.000000 1276.000000 weather, supply, disruptions, things unrelated to just broad inflation.
1276.000000 1277.000000 So they come with higher risk.
1277.000000 1278.000000 Yeah.
1278.000000 1280.000000 Real estate is often considered a good hedge too.
1280.000000 1282.000000 Because property values tend to go up.
1282.000000 1285.000000 That, and also because landlords can typically increase rents
1285.000000 1290.000000 to keep pace with rising prices and costs protecting the income stream from the property.
1290.000000 1296.000000 And then there are specific financial instruments designed explicitly for inflation protection.
1296.000000 1300.000000 The main one is treasury inflation protected securities or TPS.
1300.000000 1301.000000 TPS.
1301.000000 1302.000000 How do they work?
1302.000000 1304.000000 They're bonds issued by the US Treasury.
1304.000000 1309.000000 But unlike regular bonds, their principal value is adjusted upwards with inflation
1309.000000 1310.000000 as measured by the CPI.
1310.000000 1313.000000 So the amount you get back at the end grows with inflation?
1313.000000 1314.000000 Exactly.
1314.000000 1317.000000 And the interest payments are based on that adjusted principle.
1317.000000 1321.000000 So they offer direct protection against inflation eroding your investment.
1321.000000 1324.000000 They're considered very low risk since they're backed by the government.
1324.000000 1328.000000 You can buy them directly or through TPS mutual funds or ETFs.
1328.000000 1329.000000 Interesting.
1329.000000 1330.000000 What about gold?
1330.000000 1331.000000 People always talk about gold.
1331.000000 1332.000000 Ah, gold.
1332.000000 1338.000000 Yes, gold is often touted as the ultimate inflation hedge, a traditional safe haven asset.
1338.000000 1341.000000 Historically, its record is actually a bit mixed.
1341.000000 1344.000000 Sometimes it does well during inflation, other times less so.
1344.000000 1351.000000 Its price is influenced by many factors beyond just inflation, like investor sentiment and industrial demand.
1351.000000 1356.000000 So while it could be part of a diversified strategy, it's not always a guaranteed inflation shield.
1356.000000 1359.000000 Okay, so a range of options, but no single magic bullet.
1359.000000 1360.000000 Pretty much.
1360.000000 1364.000000 Diversification across different asset classes is usually the most prudent approach.
1364.000000 1365.000000 Right.
1365.000000 1366.000000 So let's recap quickly.
1366.000000 1367.000000 We've covered a lot of ground.
1367.000000 1371.000000 Inflation is essentially that decline in your money's purchasing power.
1371.000000 1377.000000 Driven fundamentally by increases in the money supply, but manifesting through demand pull, cost push,
1377.000000 1379.000000 and those tricky built-in expectations.
1379.000000 1384.000000 Measured by things like the CPSI and PCE, though our personal experience might feel different.
1384.000000 1389.000000 And managed or attempted to be managed by central banks like the Fed using tools like interest rates.
1389.000000 1394.000000 So hopefully you listening now feel like you've got a much better handle on this whole inflation picture
1394.000000 1398.000000 from its sneaky origins to how we try to keep it in check.
1398.000000 1403.000000 That's the goal, because truly understanding inflation, even as complexities,
1403.000000 1406.000000 empowers you to make much smarter financial decisions.
1406.000000 1411.000000 And remember, a little bit of inflation, around that 2% target the Fed aims for,
1411.000000 1415.000000 is generally considered normal, even healthy for a modern economy.
1415.000000 1417.000000 Right, it's not inherently evil.
1417.000000 1421.000000 No, but it's when it gets too high, too fast, and too unpredictable,
1421.000000 1426.000000 that it becomes really corrosive for the economy, and of course for your personal finances.
1426.000000 1429.000000 So here's a final thought to chew on as we wrap up.
1429.000000 1434.000000 Knowing all this about the causes, the controls, the personal impact, the potential hedges,
1434.000000 1439.000000 what's maybe one single change, big or small, that you might make to your own financial approach
1439.000000 1442.000000 to better navigate these price fluctuations.
1442.000000 1445.000000 Maybe even turn them into an opportunity over the long haul.
1445.000000 1450.000000 Think about how those seemingly small annual price increases compound over decades,
1450.000000 1453.000000 and what that really means for achieving your future goals.
1453.000000 1456.000000 And that wraps up today's episode of Everyday Explained.
1456.000000 1459.000000 We love making sense of the world around you five days a week.
1459.000000 1464.000000 If you enjoyed today's deep dive, consider subscribing so you don't miss out on our next discovery.
1464.000000 1467.000000 I'm Chris, and I'll catch you in the next one.